Yes, UM has come a long way since playing NAU. There was nowhere to go but up if the Griz were going to be competitive.Grizfan7 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 06, 2023 10:44 pmBut you need to judge each team by how they are playing lately, and now. UM hasn't lost since Sept. 23, to NAU on the road in its worst game of the season, which was before UM picked McDowell as it's starting QB. Vidlak played at NAU. MSU lost to Idaho on Oct. 28, on the road. UM beat Idaho on Oct. 14, on the road. MSU beat Sac St. 42 - 30 on road on Oct. 21. UM beat SS by 34-7 at home on Nov. 4.TomCat88 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 06, 2023 10:04 pmThere’s a 35 point swing in the NAU games counting a last second TD or it’s be 42. MSU beat SAC on the road. There’s only a six point swing in the Idaho game. None of MSU’s wins have been close games. UM only has two decisive wins this year. One against a winless UNCO, the other against a team that might be falling apart. SAC is 3-3 since beating Stanford. Two of the three wins weren’t impressive.tdub wrote: ↑Mon Nov 06, 2023 7:41 pmNot that PR needs defending, but I didn’t read it that way. Only as a factor, which is true. The Cats have losses against strong teams, one of which the gris beat. But the gris have only one loss, but to a mediocre team.BelligerentBobcat wrote: ↑Mon Nov 06, 2023 4:57 pmWho knew losing to a mediocre team was better than losing to a good team.
Psu has nothing to play for after losing to Davis and if they get behind early they’ll just mail it in. PSU only had about 80 yards rushing vs Davis and 300 total.
To me, the most relevant games are Idaho and SS, not NAU. You can disagree. UM also beat Davis on the road when they were ranked. Davis is 5-4. Weber is 4-5. Davis could still make playoffs with win over SS at home.
Do the Cats have any impressive wins, other the 12 point win over SS? You seem to believe the Cat loss is no big deal, nor is the UM win over Idaho. If that's true, I disagree completely. Huge difference.
The polls are picking UM over MSU now. Since we have talked about where the games will be played, obviously the Griz/Cat game is in Missoula. I believe that will be a significant factor. Bobby has lost to the Cats only once ever in Missoula, and that was the timeout game which switched from Griz win to Cat win at the end.
The team you say may be falling apart is no. 9 in the Stats poll. If SS does fall apart, Davis will beat them and likely make the playoffs. That would then surely be another good win for UM.
All this being said, I am just laying out what I see as the facts. I am not even trying to say UM is better than MSU. I really don't know who is the better team. That will be determined in 2 weeks.
The Cats have been good all season, except for the Idaho loss, and UM has been playing very well lately. 74-7 in the last 2 games, with almost no yardage given to either opponent. It should be a great game. I look forward to it, win or lose. This is what sport is about. Thanks for the discussion.
What UM is doing well is making huge plays and believing in themselves.
Over the last four games: two pick6 vs UNCO; three huge O plays vs SAC; two huge O plays vs Idaho; two huge O plays vs Davis. As long as they keep doing that they’ll have success. Even if you take all those big offensive plays out, they’ve improved on offense I just don’t think they’re close to MSU yet on offense. The defense is playing as well as it did last year but until I see it stop MSU, it’s tough to envision them stopping the Bobcats’ offense which is more diverse than it was a year ago.
I thought the most impressive UM’s offense has been was vs ISU, especially in the second half. Lots of long, sustained drives.
I think UM is better than Idaho so I’m not going to say UM can’t beat MSU. MSU’s biggest hang up in the Vigen era is winning close games vs good teams on the road. (Wyoming, idaho, SDSU). Only win in that scenario was Weber in 2021. So if UM keeps it close, it has a good chance of winning.
UM’s good. Better than I thought they’d be. I didn’t think the defense would be as good as last year, which reinforces that their scheme is really good.