Betting Lines

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Prodigal Cat
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Re: Betting Lines

Post by Prodigal Cat » Tue Nov 12, 2024 12:29 pm

catatac wrote:
Tue Nov 12, 2024 12:19 pm
kmax wrote:
Tue Nov 12, 2024 11:37 am
catatac wrote:
Tue Nov 12, 2024 11:22 am
Cats open as 7.5 point favorites @ UCD
Griz open as 17.5 point favorites hosting PSU
Man, 7.5 is a lot for a game like this. O/U initially at 60.5 so an implied score of around 34-27
Ya, I thought so too. Figured it would be closer to a pick em, especially after they went into WAGriz and not only beat the spread but beat the Griz, somewhat handily.
I get what you're saying but this MT Sports Bet. The national line might be closer but because this book is only in Mt they recognize that most of the traffic is going to be ON the Cats. So they hedge.


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St George
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Re: Betting Lines

Post by St George » Tue Nov 12, 2024 12:40 pm

I am going to bet on the over, as in 67 minutes over the time the plane is supposed to land in CA.



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Re: Betting Lines

Post by Cledus » Wed Nov 13, 2024 4:25 pm

It may be a coincidence, but it would surprise me if the handicapper opened the line with the net points per league game. The math works out: (175-127) ÷ 6 league games = 8 net pts / game.
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Re: Betting Lines

Post by St George » Thu Nov 14, 2024 7:11 am

The line has gotten a lot closer. Cats are now favored by 2.5 points.



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Re: Betting Lines

Post by Bocephus » Thu Nov 14, 2024 8:32 am

catatac wrote:
Tue Nov 12, 2024 12:19 pm
kmax wrote:
Tue Nov 12, 2024 11:37 am
catatac wrote:
Tue Nov 12, 2024 11:22 am
Cats open as 7.5 point favorites @ UCD
Griz open as 17.5 point favorites hosting PSU
Man, 7.5 is a lot for a game like this. O/U initially at 60.5 so an implied score of around 34-27
Ya, I thought so too. Figured it would be closer to a pick em, especially after they went into WAGriz and not only beat the spread but beat the Griz, somewhat handily.
17.5 point favorites for team that scored 14. Interesting.



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Re: Betting Lines

Post by Colter_Nuanez » Thu Nov 14, 2024 8:40 am

The Bobcat line indicates two things: one, that the book believes Montana State is 14 points better than UC Davis as the standard FCS homefield is 6.5 points. And two, it's a public bating line to get people to pour money in on Davis.

It's the same thing as the Griz line. This is pretty much the drill every single week. Both Montana schools are favored by more than they are actually favored by because it's the book baiting the public to bet the opposite side of the side you're "affiliated" with. The book does not make predictions. The book tries to get even money bet on both sides of a number.

If the Cat line moved 5 points in the matter of days, mission accomplished.



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Re: Betting Lines

Post by Prodigal Cat » Thu Nov 14, 2024 8:46 am

St George wrote:
Thu Nov 14, 2024 7:11 am
The line has gotten a lot closer. Cats are now favored by 2.5 points.
Is this a national sport book line? Because MT Sports still has it -7.5.


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catatac
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Re: Betting Lines

Post by catatac » Thu Nov 14, 2024 5:26 pm

Prodigal Cat wrote:
Thu Nov 14, 2024 8:46 am
St George wrote:
Thu Nov 14, 2024 7:11 am
The line has gotten a lot closer. Cats are now favored by 2.5 points.
Is this a national sport book line? Because MT Sports still has it -7.5.
Ya, if that 2.5 point line is showing anywhere, I'd love to see it. I'm still seeing 7.5.

Also added in USD over UND by 13.5.
Then the one I just saw that really surprised me is NDSU over MO State but only 5.5 points. I thought for sure higher than that in Fargo. I think I'll bet that one.


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Re: Betting Lines

Post by wbtfg » Thu Nov 14, 2024 6:04 pm

catatac wrote:
Thu Nov 14, 2024 5:26 pm
Prodigal Cat wrote:
Thu Nov 14, 2024 8:46 am
St George wrote:
Thu Nov 14, 2024 7:11 am
The line has gotten a lot closer. Cats are now favored by 2.5 points.
Is this a national sport book line? Because MT Sports still has it -7.5.
Ya, if that 2.5 point line is showing anywhere, I'd love to see it. I'm still seeing 7.5.

Also added in USD over UND by 13.5.
Then the one I just saw that really surprised me is NDSU over MO State but only 5.5 points. I thought for sure higher than that in Fargo. I think I'll bet that one.
NDSU line is 11.5 on mtsportsbet


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Re: Betting Lines

Post by KIX » Fri Nov 15, 2024 4:56 pm

wbtfg wrote:
Thu Nov 14, 2024 6:04 pm
catatac wrote:
Thu Nov 14, 2024 5:26 pm
Prodigal Cat wrote:
Thu Nov 14, 2024 8:46 am
St George wrote:
Thu Nov 14, 2024 7:11 am
The line has gotten a lot closer. Cats are now favored by 2.5 points.
Is this a national sport book line? Because MT Sports still has it -7.5.
Ya, if that 2.5 point line is showing anywhere, I'd love to see it. I'm still seeing 7.5.

Also added in USD over UND by 13.5.
Then the one I just saw that really surprised me is NDSU over MO State but only 5.5 points. I thought for sure higher than that in Fargo. I think I'll bet that one.
NDSU line is 11.5 on mtsportsbet
Nope -5.5 NDSU.



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Re: Betting Lines

Post by profisme » Fri Nov 15, 2024 6:03 pm

KIX wrote:
Fri Nov 15, 2024 4:56 pm
wbtfg wrote:
Thu Nov 14, 2024 6:04 pm
catatac wrote:
Thu Nov 14, 2024 5:26 pm
Prodigal Cat wrote:
Thu Nov 14, 2024 8:46 am
St George wrote:
Thu Nov 14, 2024 7:11 am
The line has gotten a lot closer. Cats are now favored by 2.5 points.
Is this a national sport book line? Because MT Sports still has it -7.5.
Ya, if that 2.5 point line is showing anywhere, I'd love to see it. I'm still seeing 7.5.

Also added in USD over UND by 13.5.
Then the one I just saw that really surprised me is NDSU over MO State but only 5.5 points. I thought for sure higher than that in Fargo. I think I'll bet that one.
NDSU line is 11.5 on mtsportsbet
Nope -5.5 NDSU.
-5.5 NDSU is the lowest you can tease the line to on there. The “normal” line is still -11.5 NDSU.


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Re: Betting Lines

Post by Prodigal Cat » Fri Nov 15, 2024 7:40 pm

Who screws up this parlay?

Portland State +17.5 (-118)
Montana State -7.5 (-125)
NDSU -5.5 (-250)

$100 bet payout is $465.56


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Re: Betting Lines

Post by 94VegasCat » Fri Nov 15, 2024 8:06 pm

Prodigal Cat wrote:
Fri Nov 15, 2024 7:40 pm
Who screws up this parlay?

Portland State +17.5 (-118)
Montana State -7.5 (-125)
NDSU -5.5 (-250)

$100 bet payout is $465.56
Hopefully NDSU


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Re: Betting Lines

Post by Montanabob » Fri Nov 15, 2024 9:07 pm

94VegasCat wrote:
Fri Nov 15, 2024 8:06 pm
Prodigal Cat wrote:
Fri Nov 15, 2024 7:40 pm
Who screws up this parlay?

Portland State +17.5 (-118)
Montana State -7.5 (-125)
NDSU -5.5 (-250)

$100 bet payout is $465.56
Hopefully NDSU
take psu -7
montana state -17
ndsu -3


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Re: Betting Lines

Post by cats2506 » Sat Nov 16, 2024 10:01 am

Prodigal Cat wrote:
Fri Nov 15, 2024 7:40 pm
Who screws up this parlay?

Portland State +17.5 (-118)
Montana State -7.5 (-125)
NDSU -5.5 (-250)

$100 bet payout is $465.56
What book is this,
mtsportsbet?


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Re: Betting Lines

Post by Prodigal Cat » Sat Nov 16, 2024 1:42 pm

cats2506 wrote:
Sat Nov 16, 2024 10:01 am
Prodigal Cat wrote:
Fri Nov 15, 2024 7:40 pm
Who screws up this parlay?

Portland State +17.5 (-118)
Montana State -7.5 (-125)
NDSU -5.5 (-250)

$100 bet payout is $465.56
What book is this,
mtsportsbet?
Yes


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catatac
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Re: Betting Lines

Post by catatac » Sat Nov 16, 2024 1:50 pm

Prodigal Cat wrote:
Sat Nov 16, 2024 1:42 pm
cats2506 wrote:
Sat Nov 16, 2024 10:01 am
Prodigal Cat wrote:
Fri Nov 15, 2024 7:40 pm
Who screws up this parlay?

Portland State +17.5 (-118)
Montana State -7.5 (-125)
NDSU -5.5 (-250)

$100 bet payout is $465.56
What book is this,
mtsportsbet?
Yes
NDSU is -13.5

Also, SDSU game moved to -30.5... which I think is more realistic than where it opened.


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Re: Betting Lines

Post by Prodigal Cat » Sat Nov 16, 2024 1:54 pm

catatac wrote:
Sat Nov 16, 2024 1:50 pm
Prodigal Cat wrote:
Sat Nov 16, 2024 1:42 pm
cats2506 wrote:
Sat Nov 16, 2024 10:01 am
Prodigal Cat wrote:
Fri Nov 15, 2024 7:40 pm
Who screws up this parlay?

Portland State +17.5 (-118)
Montana State -7.5 (-125)
NDSU -5.5 (-250)

$100 bet payout is $465.56
What book is this,
mtsportsbet?
Yes
NDSU is -13.5

Also, SDSU game moved to -30.5... which I think is more realistic than where it opened.
Yes but if clicked on the game they offer different odds. -5.5 was -250 yesterday.


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wbtfg
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Re: Betting Lines

Post by wbtfg » Sun Nov 17, 2024 4:01 pm

Early guesses on the opening betting line?

I’m guessing 12.5.


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catatac
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Re: Betting Lines

Post by catatac » Sun Nov 17, 2024 4:52 pm

Predictions on the opening line for The Brawl? I'll take a stab..... Cats by 17.5.


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