The Bobcat Nation

MSUBRONCO wrote: ↑

Fri Dec 12, 2025 9:55 am

I like we got the big game but I get Saturdays off not Friday nights so in that aspect sucks can't watch

MrGoodKat wrote: ↑

Fri Dec 12, 2025 9:01 am

Contrary to some of the coverage, this is a really bad matchup for SFA.

The Lumberjacks' offense is led by their passing attack and Vidlak isn't mobile. This plays directly into MSU's hands, as their pass defense is their strength. The Cats' rush is going to make for a really long night for them. I could see things avalanching on SFA.

Here is how the best QB's that MSU has played have done vs. the Cats and then compared to their rest of their schedule:

K. Ah Yat, UM

-Season Avg: 277 yds/gm, 69% completion, 9.1 YPA. 2.3 TD/gm
-Vs. MSU: 186 yds, 83% completion, 5.8 YPA, 1 TD

C. Pinnick, UCD

-Season Avg: 286 yds/gm, 72% completion, 10.0 YPA, 2.9 TD/gm
-@ MSU: 234 yds, 61%, 6.5 YPA, 2 TD

D. Reno, YALE

-Season Avg: 209 yds/gm, 66% completion, 8.1 YPA, 1.8 TD/gm
-@ MSU: 198 yds, 57%, 5.7 YPA, 1 TD

T. Pennington, NAU

-Season Avg: 260 yds/gm, 66% completion, 8.6 YPA, 1.7 TD/gm
-Vs. MSU: 210 yds, 60%, 4.5 YPA, 0 TD

In light of all that, I would estimate Vidlak does something like this: 17/30, 57%, 168 yds, 5.6 YPA, 1 TD, 2 INT, 4 Sacks

I also tend to think that the SFA rushing defense numbers are fake. ACU just came into Nacodoches and put up 31/211/4 on the ground (6.8 YPC). I don't think MSU will have much trouble running the ball.

52-13 MSU

MSUBRONCO wrote: ↑

Fri Dec 12, 2025 9:55 am

I like we got the big game but I get Saturdays off not Friday nights so in that aspect sucks can't watch

cats2506 wrote: ↑

Fri Dec 12, 2025 10:26 am

Plan to leave at 12:00 from Lewistown. We Wont Miss IT

PapaG wrote: ↑

Fri Dec 12, 2025 10:14 am

Glad I didn’t buy a ticket because that isn’t a drive I would want to make from and back to Billings tonight.

Tough scheduling and kudos to anyone who gets there tonight from anywhere outside of Bozeman. Hopefully the locals and students who do get there make up the difference for us who just can’t make the drive after work and get there in time.

Bulldog fan wrote: ↑

Fri Dec 12, 2025 11:00 am

Yale fan (from Texas) and will be cheering hard for the Bobcats. Was treated so well last week and loved the environment. Hope you get a good crowd and kick their ass!

84CatGrad wrote: ↑

Fri Dec 12, 2025 10:04 am

MSUBRONCO wrote: ↑

Fri Dec 12, 2025 9:55 am

I like we got the big game but I get Saturdays off not Friday nights so in that aspect sucks can't watch

Find a screen somewhere, anywhere.

SFASawmill wrote: ↑

Fri Dec 12, 2025 10:26 am

MrGoodKat wrote: ↑

Fri Dec 12, 2025 9:01 am

Contrary to some of the coverage, this is a really bad matchup for SFA.

The Lumberjacks' offense is led by their passing attack and Vidlak isn't mobile. This plays directly into MSU's hands, as their pass defense is their strength. The Cats' rush is going to make for a really long night for them. I could see things avalanching on SFA.

Here is how the best QB's that MSU has played have done vs. the Cats and then compared to their rest of their schedule:

K. Ah Yat, UM

-Season Avg: 277 yds/gm, 69% completion, 9.1 YPA. 2.3 TD/gm
-Vs. MSU: 186 yds, 83% completion, 5.8 YPA, 1 TD

C. Pinnick, UCD

-Season Avg: 286 yds/gm, 72% completion, 10.0 YPA, 2.9 TD/gm
-@ MSU: 234 yds, 61%, 6.5 YPA, 2 TD

D. Reno, YALE

-Season Avg: 209 yds/gm, 66% completion, 8.1 YPA, 1.8 TD/gm
-@ MSU: 198 yds, 57%, 5.7 YPA, 1 TD

T. Pennington, NAU

-Season Avg: 260 yds/gm, 66% completion, 8.6 YPA, 1.7 TD/gm
-Vs. MSU: 210 yds, 60%, 4.5 YPA, 0 TD

In light of all that, I would estimate Vidlak does something like this: 17/30, 57%, 168 yds, 5.6 YPA, 1 TD, 2 INT, 4 Sacks

I also tend to think that the SFA rushing defense numbers are fake. ACU just came into Nacodoches and put up 31/211/4 on the ground (6.8 YPC). I don't think MSU will have much trouble running the ball.

52-13 MSU

To say SFA is led by their passing attack isn’t very accurate. SFA runs the ball really, really well and rotates a couple of different guys back there who bring different running styles in. There have certainly been games where we relied heavily on our passing attack, but for the most part our offense is very balanced. We’ve had a fair amount of 3rd down conversions come from runs on 3rd and long instead of passes. It’s just really hard to determine what SFA is going to do offensively regardless of the situation.

ACU certainly did find a way to break some big runs on SFA but SFA runs a very high risk, high reward style of defense. Lots of constant pressure and usually sending extra guys on a blitz which results in a lot of QB pressure and tackles in the backfield. Unfortunately if someone misses it does allow for some big plays. But there’s a reason the University of Houston struggled heavily against us offensively when we were playing our worst football of the year. They did break off big plays because they’re a good big 12 team but they had a lot of 3 and outs, and if it wasn’t for how good their defense is and how bad our offense looked the first 2 weeks, it would’ve been a lot closer than 27-0.